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Thursday, December 20, 2007

Pollspot: Getting Down to the Wire

The Iowa Caucus is fast approaching and it continues to look like a 3-way tie between Obama, Clinton, and Edwards for the Democrats. Take a look at some polls courtesy of Politcial Wire:

American Research Group:

The American Research Group released new polls from Iowa and New Hampshire, but both show results very different than almost every other recently published poll.

Democrats:
In Iowa, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads among Democrats with 29% followed closely by Sen. Barack Obama with 25% and John Edwards with 18%. Obama has the softest support in Iowa among Democrats, with 25% of his supporters say they might change their minds.

In New Hampshire, Clinton leads with 38%, followed by Obama at 24%, and Edwards at 15%.

Republicans:
In Iowa, Mike Huckabee leads with 28%, followed by John McCain at 20%, Mitt Romney at 17%, and Rudy Giuliani at 13%. Huckabee's support in Iowa is the softest among Republicans, with 62% of his supporters saying they might change their minds.

In New Hampshire, Romney and McCain are tied at 26% each.

Strategic Vision:

A new Strategic Vision poll in Iowa that also shows the Democratic presidential race in a statistical tie. Sen. Barack Obama leads with 30%, followed by John Edwards and Sen. Hillary Clinton tied at 27%.For Republicans, Mike Huckabee leads with 31%, followed by Mitt Romney at 25%, Fred Thompson at 16%, Sen. John McCain at 8%, Rudy Giuliani at 6%.

CNN:

A new CNN/Opinion Research poll shows the Democratic race for president in a statistical tie. Sen. Hillary Clinton leads with 30%, followed by Sen. Barack Obama at 28% and John Edwards at 26% -- all within the poll's margin of error of four points.

On the Republican side, Mike Huckabee leads with 33%, followed by Mitt Romney at 25%, and Rudy Giuliani at 11%.

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